Seizing captives for military or financial gain has a long history dating back to Julius Caesar. Unfortunately for Israel, this is a tactic that Hamas understands too well. On October 7, 2023, Hamas terrorists entered Israel and attacked Israeli civilians. Part of Hamas' barbarism entailed kidnapping over 240 civilians. Since that infamous day in Israeli history, Hamas has been using hostages as pawns in its insidious goal to wipe out Jews, much like its cynical ploy to use Gazan civilians as human shields in order to gain international sympathy. This past Sunday began what is meant to be a three-part ceasefire that is intended to put an end to the fighting in Gaza.
Israel was pressured into this bad deal by the United States. One, President Biden could tout a foreign policy by claiming credit for the ceasefire. Also, Trump threatened that "all hell would break out" if the hostages were not released by the time he became president. It is disheartening to see Trump try to haphazardly put pressure on Israel so he could avoid a foreign policy embarrassment early in his second term. Trump might think the deal is "epic," but it is a capitulation to a relentless terrorist organization.
I criticized the idea of a ceasefire last January and I still stand by the opinion that Israel should not sign a ceasefire. Ceasefires between Israel and Hamas have not worked in the past. If they were meant to be an effective peacemaking mechanism, we would have seen it by now. Whether it was 2009, 2012, 2014, 2019, or 2021, Hamas would take advantage of the ceasefire to regroup, rearm, and eventually attack Israel again. As former Secretary of State Antony Blinken confirmed, Hamas nearly replaced its losses by recruiting new fighters. How long again before Hamas decides to attack Israel again?
Israel's withdrawal from various parts of Gaza were fought with the blood of 400 Israeli soldiers, as well as the blood, sweat, and tears of other Israeli soldiers. The ground Israel gained through this arduous urban warfare has given the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) the upper hand. Such a withdrawal would give a militaristic advantage to Hamas, especially since Hamas hides in these populated areas from where the IDF would withdraw. It would also mean that those IDF soldiers loss their life for naught. Giving up this ground would most likely perpetuate the conflict, as is reinforced from the previous paragraph.
Furthermore, there is no one there to replace Hamas, including Fatah. That means if Israel withdraws from Gaza, Hamas remains in charge of the area. Hamas is a terrorist organization hellbent on exterminating Jews and has shown no signs whatsoever that it will be deterred from that mission. Plus, it is not like the Gazans can scream "Occupation" since Israel unilaterally withdrew from Gaza in 2005. Since a ceasefire does not address the Jew-hatred of Hamas and so many of Gaza's citizens, how does a ceasefire ignoring the root causes resolve the conflict in the Middle East?
Then there is the matter of the ratios are way too lopsided. Israel is expected to trade 30 terrorists for one civilian hostage and 50 terrorists for each female soldier. Some of these prisoners have committed some horrible acts against humanity. It is even more twisted that the hostages will not all be released at once. What do you think these hardened criminals will do? Turn over a new leaf? They will most likely pick up where they left off. Anyone with anything remotely resembling a moral compass knows this arrangement is off-kilter.
Regrettably, Israel already set the precedent in lopsided hostage-prisoner swaps. In 2011, Israel released over 1,000 Palestinian terrorist prisoners for IDF soldier Gilad Shalit. I was elated to see Shalit released from captivity. Conversely, I have to wonder if it was worth the price. After all, one of those prisoners released in 2011 was Yahya Sinwar, the architect of the October 7 attacks. Although unintended and unforeseeable, Israel's hostage-prisoner swap in 2011 was responsible for hundreds more being murdered about 12 years later. What future butcherer will Israel release from prison if it goes through with the entirety of this latest ceasefire? And how is it justice to release men who have committed heinous crimes, especially for the families of the victims of said crimes?
I could only imagine the hell the hostages have endured. I wish there was not a hostage situation or that we could live in a world where there could actually be peace in the Middle East. I think it has been way too long that this war and hostage situation has occurred. I do not want to belittle the joy that the families of the hostages will upon seeing their loved ones or the relief that Gazan civilians will feel with a hiatus in the fighting. As 9/11 taught the United States, the sort of political pressure created by the hostages can be immense enough to want the Israeli people to take a deal, no matter what the long-term consequences are. It makes me wonder if the Israeli government is gaining some short-term relief in exchange for another attack as horrific, if not more so, than October 7.
This subpar ceasefire rewards the terrorists while undermining Israeli national security. As Econ 101 teaches, you get more of what you reward. Incentivizing Hamas to kidnap and torture civilians in the future so they can be used as bargaining chips, much as we have already seen take place. Donald Trump, the man renown for the "Art of the Deal," should be able to do better than pressure a deal that is likely to cause greater instability in the Middle East, thereby being the President's first foreign policy faux pas of his second term. In the meantime, I hope that the hostages come home and that there can be a speedy end to this conflict that can ensure lasting peace in that conflict-ridden region of the world.
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