Shortly before President Trump assumed the presidency, it felt like he was trolling the American people when it came to foreign policy. Trump wanted to revisit the idea of owning the Panama Canal, in spite of President Carter relinquished it to Panama in 1977. Trump floated the idea of Canada becoming a 51st state of the United States to avoid tariffs. He also presented the idea of buying Greenland. Last Friday, Trump got into a reportedly "fiery" call with Mette Frederiksen, the Danish Prime Minister over the idea. That was after Anders Vistisen, a Danish member of European Parliament for the Right-leaning Danish People's Party, told Trump that Greenland is not for sale and for Trump to "fuck off." The reasons why the Danes' opinion matters in this instance is because Greenland is a self-governing country within the Danish Kingdom.
This is not the first time that Trump has proposed buying Greenland. He did so in August 2019, which prompted me to write a blog entry on the policy idea. As I brought up in 2019, Greenland has natural resources of interest, particularly the rare earth metals that are necessary for our smartphones, computers, and other electronic goods. As the Arctic sea ice continues to melt, the Arctic Circle will become a more viable alternative for maritime travel than the Panama or Suez Canals. In terms of national security, Russia and China are more interested in that region of the world, which is piquing Trump's interest.
It is more than the economic and national security implications that do not make the idea crazy. One, this country has purchased land before. In 1803, the United States paid $15 million to France to double the size of the United States. There was the acquisition of Florida in 1819, followed by the purchase of Alaska for $7.2 million in 1867. Although it was considered Seward's Folly, I bet Russia is kicking itself for that transaction because of all the petroleum in Alaska. Two, this is not the first time purchasing Greenland has been a policy question. The United States considered purchasing Greenland in 1868 under President Andrew Johnson and in 1946 under President Truman.
Three, purchasing Greenland sure beats going to war and trying to conquer it, especially since invading Greenland would likely be the end of NATO. Four, it is possible to be an independent or quasi-independent territory within the United States, as Guam, Puerto Rico, Micronesia, Northern Marina Islands, Palau, and the American Samoa have demonstrated. That being said, I do have objections to Trump's plan:
1) Neither Denmark nor Greenland want to sell Greenland. The Prime Minister of Greenland is trying to push for Greenland's independence. Meanwhile, Denmark is looking to spend $1.5 billion to bolster defense in Greenland. This will not work well if both sides are not on board.
2) Denmark is a NATO ally. Not only could this upset Denmark, but it could have a ripple effect towards other NATO allies. It could even push Greenland to want to ally itself with Russia and China.
3) The United States already has a military base in Greenland: the Pituffik Space Base. As the Center for Strategic and International Studies points out, Trump can make progress on U.S. national security priorities with the already-existing engagement strategy that it shares with Greenland and Denmark.
4) It is unlikely that China and Russia would take over Greenland. Russia is already having enough issues with Ukraine. In 2018, Washington and Copenhagen fended off Chinese bids to build airports in Greenland. Even if either country decided to invade, the United States has the advantage of already having a military base on Greenland (see previous point) and proximity relative to Russia and China. I am sure there are more serious national security issues for the U.S. government to address.
5) Yes, there are rare earth metals in Greenland. Wouldn't it be easier to simply purchase the mineral rights in the open marketplace instead of the entire country? After all, the United States imported $131.9 billion in mineral fuels, oils, and distillation products from Canada without making Canada the 51st of the United States of America. Ownership of Greenland is not a prerequisite to gain access to Greenland's rare earth metals. Plus, making Greenland part of the United States would make it more difficult to extract those rare earth metals due to the National Environmental Protection Act (NEPA).
6) One could argue that Greenland would benefit from an influx of American investment and increased tourism. However, Greenland does not need to be purchased. The goals of increased infrastructure, tourism, and immigration could be accomplished with bilateral trade agreements.
7) The think-tank American Action Forum estimated the purchase price of Greenland at $2.8 trillion. Given the previous points plus the fact that United States has over $36 trillion in debt, can the United States really afford to add $2.8 trillion to its debt?
8) Given Greenland's remote location and harsh climate, the returns on investment remain uncertain.
9) Greenland has a distinct cultural heritage, not to mention an indigenous Inuit population. It could prove difficult to integrate Greenland into U.S. society and culture, especially given the geographical and cultural distance between the two entities.
Postscript. I know Trump gained his fame from being a real estate tycoon. He is known for "Art of the Deal." I am sure his past experience is playing into his desire to acquire Greenland, especially since he know has the backing of the world's most powerful military. The truth is that Trump should not try to acquire Greenland nor does he need to acquire Greenland.
I do not think that the idea of purchasing a country is prima facie antiquated. Much like with individuals or companies within the private sector, I think these transactions are most successful when mutually beneficial and when there is mutual agreement. Given that the governments of Greenland or Denmark are on board with this proposal, I think that adds given reason to be against Trump's proposal. Trump can acquire the benefits through other means short of purchasing Greenland, whether that is bilateral trade agreements, mineral rights, or expanding military interests through the current engagement strategy. Let us hope that he can be convinced of those alternatives instead of making a foreign policy faux pas.